Forex

EoWA 19 April 2020

End of Week Analyses using Sentiment and Market Structure in Forex DXY The Dollar is currently in a range between 99.63 and 100.30. We want to see a clean break up or down as shown by the arrows before we get too excited for either direction here. Structurally, DXY is more likely to make higher highs and take out stops above. However, when looking at other pairs there is cause for concern. Sentiment Readings using Basket Analysis shows that all of the pairs are clustered in the center of the quadrants. This is a clear sign of indecision of directional [...]

By |April 19th, 2020|

EoWA 22 MAR 20

FOCUS ON CORONA VIRUSThe major headwind in the markets is still the corona virus.  When volatility is this high, a good money management strategy is to lower your position size to account for the added risk.USDCADWith DXY (US Dollar Index) at near 19 year highs... I couldn't help but get the feeling that the juice may be running out - at least for now.Take a look at USDCAD above.  As retail became more and more short and entered the extreme zone between -75 and -100, look how price continued to move upward.  On Friday price started moving downward and appears to [...]

By |March 22nd, 2020|

EoWA 15 MAR 20

FOCUS ON CORONA VIRUS The major focus this past week was the fear surrounding the corona virus. When we get to looking at USDJPY we will see the opportunities that were present in the beginning of the week - with an eye for the change in direction by mid week. Sentiment Using Basket Analysis of USD/xxx, we saw the dollar get stronger verses ALL other currencies by 3/12/2020. Currency Baskets began clustering around the strong buy zone and USDEUR, USDJPY, & USDCHF were in the weak buy. (remember with basket analysis, we are putting all major pairs with USD/xxx) to [...]

By |March 15th, 2020|

EoWA 16 FEB 20

Sentiment Using USD as a Base Currency (USD/xxx) we are able to analyze and isolate the Sentiment of the USD. Currently with Sentiment - USD is currently in the Strong Buy zone for the most part, but the concern is that pairs have shifted across the Y axis to the SELL side. Keep in mind, this is a weak sell signal for the Dollar Index. GBPUSD is the leader in being a BUY against the dollar (as you can see above the dollar is weaker compared to GBP) DXY The USD is still showing strong signs of momentum to the [...]

By |February 16th, 2020|

EoWA 19 JAN 20

Sentiment Using USD as a Base Currency (USD/xxx) we are able to analyze and isolate the Sentiment of the USD. Currently with Sentiment - USD is spreading out compared to last week. The majority of the pairs are on the left side of the Y axis, but above the X axis - which signifies a weak buy. DXY USD is currently in a downtrend. Look for Selling Opportunities until the LITS is broken strongly with an IM. EURUSD Until EURUSD crosses the LITS, we must have an upward bias. Look for Buying Opportunities with Sentiment Shifts or Retail Overloading Short. [...]

By |January 19th, 2020|

EoWA 12 JAN 20

SentimentUsing USD as a Base Currency (USD/xxx) we are able to analyze and isolate the Sentiment of the USD. Currently with Sentiment - USD is spreading out compared to last week. The majority of the pairs are on the left side of the Y axis, but above the X axis - which signifies a weak buy.DXYUSD is currently in a downtrend. Look for Selling Opportunities until the LITS is broken strongly with an IM.EURUSDUntil EURUSD crosses the LITS, we must have an upward bias. Look for Buying Opportunities with Sentiment Shifts or Retail Overloading Short.USDJPYUJ was a very profitable play for the SentiFX [...]

By |January 12th, 2020|

2020 First Analysis of the New Year

Happy New Year Traders! Let's make 2020 the BEST Trading Year!!Before we begin, I just want to thank you for being part of the SentiFX community. There are some big plans for 2020.We're going to develop some Trading Drills to help you hone your Analysis Skills in all areas of the SentiFX Methodology.We're also going to develop indicators for the MT4 platform that allow you to see Sentiment in various perspectives directly on your charts.We will continue to develop the Sentiment Analysis Suite of Tools and we expect to complete the Market Structure Deep Dive Course and much more! Of course, [...]

By |January 5th, 2020|

Sentiment Trading – Quantitative Proof – Part 1

Does Retail Sentiment Data have any predictive power for future price movements? If so, what does it help you predict? Is Sentiment a contrarian indicator or does price more often follow the direction that retail predicted? How reliable are those predictions? Most important of all, is there any money to be made from using Retail Sentiment to influence your trading decisions? These are the questions to which I want to find answers in this series of blog posts. I am going to put them under the microscope, in a purely data-driven way, and see whether the hypotheses can be confirmed or [...]

By |December 10th, 2019|

USDJPY Sentiment and Seasonal Trade Part II

The USDJPY Seasonal Trade Part II USDJPY knocked it out of the ball park - again! If you didn't see the first post about the USDJPY Seasonal Trade that I initially missed, check it out HERE Last night, I mentioned that I was looking to scale into USDJPY long. I was confident that the move wasn't over yet as we are only at the beginning of the month and I didn't believe our Seasonal Trade was over. Sure enough, I went to sleep with [...]

By |November 8th, 2019|

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