Hello Traders! After many weeks of daily active trading on my part, i've hit a bit of a quiet period in which i'm still getting good trades off, however they aren't the 2-3 per day i was getting on occasion. This is in part due to the recent spike in vol we have seen on the back of market jitters based on rising global yields. Market conditions just haven't suited my way of trading. So during this period i was reflecting on what the best thing(s) to do are when you hit these inevitable periods where you cant seem to [...]
Hello Traders,Weekend thoughts on this weeks action:Crazy week full of ups and downs.... !! The word on everyone's lips from seasoned market pros to the novice investor seems to be 'Yields' this week. The Bond Markets are playing a game of chicken with the FED at the moment, almost daring them to take action.... be that in the form of negative rates or yield curve control, seeing them start to put their foot on the long end by buying longer duration bonds. A risky proposition either way.... I personally think that they won't tolerate a big steeping of the curve [...]
Hello Traders!A great Long trade in GBPUSD to report this week which netted 90 pips! As usual this was shared in the SentiFX chat room under trade ideas - current members check it out, else if you're not a member, you know what to do.Check out the lifetime membership option.Ok, onto the trade analysis and outcome. On the 17th (per below screenshot) I shared with the SentiFX Slack Chat group a chart giving my long entry conditions for Cable. The trade was based on a horizontal (Liquidity Gap - LG) Zone and trendline/wedge pattern forming on the 1hr chart. Add [...]
To Sentiment or Not to Sentiment? That's a dumb question. Imagine this ~ A speeding train is headed towards you as you leap back and forth in front of the track. You could grab on for the ride when it gets slightly past you. If you wait too long, you'll miss it..... But if you keep hopping back and forth trying to dodge it - you're going to get run over. That's what happened this week to those who chose Not to Sentiment. USDJPY USDJPY was that Train, and if you were hopping [...]
Synopsis: In this video you will Learn Basic Market structure by examining AUDUSD on 1 OCT 2019. AUDUSD completed the Full Market Cycle - What to expect next?
Synopsis: In this video you will Learn Basic Market structure by examining USDJPY on 1 OCT 2019. UPDATE When I saw price break down fast and pull back, I immediately sold at Structure and Targeted the stops mentioned in the video. Sentiment had shifted across the Y axis, then the X axis, and then was a strong Sell by the end of the week. Market Cycle Completed UJ completed the intermediate Sell Side Cycle. It's worth studying how price behaved around each key area of Market Structure. Ask yourself: [...]
A Member asked a legitimate question: "On 24 September 2019 at 17:20, USDCHF moved into the strong sell mode. Looking at the candle chart, you will be selling at the end of the move down. My question is how do you use the sentiment tool to avoid situations like this or how will you have dealt this scenario?" You could have easily made money if you were trading this on the 15M Time Frame, and would have avoided it all together on the 1H Time Frame. Here is how you'd do it. This is [...]
This is an excellent example of a repeatable pattern in the FX market. I would say Textbook because it is perfect - but this happens so often that it is core to the way we think about Market Structure. Study this Market Structure thoroughly and understand what is going on here. If you understand this - you understand the core of Market Structure. First you have a mark up ("uptrend") - by the first Higher High (HH) then a Higher Low (HL). Price continues to drive upward until it reaches a zone where it can no longer continue [...]